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  • Dow 26K: Is This One Different?
    by imoblog@commonwealth.com (Brad McMillan, CFA, CAIA, MAI) on January 17, 2018 at 7:12 pm

    With the Dow opening above 26,000 yesterday morning, I was all set to continue down the same path of my Dow 24K and Dow 25K posts. Alas, it wasn’t to be. Although markets are up, the Dow is below the magic number as I write this, which is certainly okay. It would not be a bad thing to take a little longer to hit another milestone, as I noted in those previous posts. But what was really interesting about yesterday was not that the milestone was cracked. Rather, it was that sentiment changed and pulled it down again. Past breaks, on the other hand, have driven the market higher. Is this one different? […]

  • Monday Update (on Tuesday): Prices Steady,...
    by imoblog@commonwealth.com (Brad McMillan, CFA, CAIA, MAI) on January 16, 2018 at 5:08 pm

    Last week was a slow one for data releases, with only consumer prices and retail sales. Overall, the news remained good. The expansion continued, with inflation maintaining a moderate pace and consumers spending freely. […]

  • Appearance on CNBC's Nightly Business...
    by imoblog@commonwealth.com (Brad McMillan, CFA, CAIA, MAI) on January 12, 2018 at 7:39 pm

    Yesterday, I appeared on CNBC’s Nightly Business Report (my segment starts at 11:09) to discuss the effect of rising interest rates on utility investments. Although there are some short-term concerns for investors, there is certainly no cause for panic. Listen in to learn more. […]

  • What Do Higher Interest Rates Mean for...
    by imoblog@commonwealth.com (Brad McMillan, CFA, CAIA, MAI) on January 12, 2018 at 5:18 pm

    With interest rates rising recently, I have received a number of questions about what that means for our investments. It’s not as simple a question as you might think. As such, it is worth taking some time to think things through. […]

  • Appearance on CNBC's Power Lunch, January...
    by imoblog@commonwealth.com (Brad McMillan, CFA, CAIA, MAI) on January 11, 2018 at 9:12 pm

    Although many are talking about higher rates, I think the real market story is deregulation. I shared my thoughts on this and more earlier today on CNBC's Power Lunch. […]

  • What Investors (Should) Know Ahead of Time
    by imoblog@commonwealth.com (Brad McMillan, CFA, CAIA, MAI) on January 11, 2018 at 7:30 pm

    I was thinking about demographics the other day, in the context of what they mean for economic growth over the next decade or so. One of the reasons growth has been so slow in recent years is simply because of the age mix of the population. Baby boomers are aging and retiring, so they are spending less. The rising millennial generation, on the other hand, has not yet hit its peak earning and spending years. As such, the drag from the boomers offsets the gain from the millennials. It will continue to do so for the next couple of years, but then that will change. The effect of demographics is one of the few things we really can know ahead of time in economics. We know who has been born—and […]